This report was prepared as an account of work sponsored by an agency of the United States Government.

Neither the United States Government nor any agency thereof, nor any of their employees, nor any of their contractors, subcontractors or their employees, makes any warranty, express or implied, or assumes any legal liability or responsibility for the accuracy, completeness, or any third party's use or the results of such use of any information, apparatus, product, or process disclosed, or represents that its use would not infringe privately owned rights. Reference herein to any specific commercial product, process, or service by trade name, trademark, manufacturer, or otherwise, does not necessarily constitute or imply its endorsement, recommendation, or favoring by the United States Government or any agency thereof or its contractors or subcontractors. The views and opinions of authors expressed herein do not necessarily state or reflect those of the United States Government or any agency thereof.

The foundation of the agricultural sector analysis is the 2015 USDA Long Term Forecast. The BT16 agricultural simulations of energy crops and primary crop residues are introduced in alternative scenarios to the 2015 USDA Baseline Forecast. Only 2015-2024 BT16 national level baseline scenario results of crop supply, price, and planted and harvested acres for the 8 major crops are considered to be consistent with the 2015 USDA Baseline Report. Additional years of 2025-2040 in the BT16 baseline scenario and downscaled reporting to the regional and county level were generated through application of separate data, analysis, and technical assumptions led by Oak Ridge National Laboratory and do not represent nor imply U.S. Department of Agriculture or U.S. Department of Energy quantitative forecasts or policy.

The foundation for the forest sector analysis is developed demand scenarios. The forest scenarios were adapted from U.S. Forest Service models and developed explicitly for this report and do not reflect, imply, or represent U.S. Forest Service policy or findings.

The county-level data provided a non-unique, representative reference scenario, generated by the Department of Energy for use in the report, which is consistent, in the aggregate, with the national level projections. Prices are marginal (i.e., price of the last ton), and supplies are cumulative. Forest resources are based on modeling simulations data from the US Forest Service Forest Resources Planning Act, Forest Inventory and Analysis, and Timber Product Output data as described in the report. Caveats associated with those data sets apply. Due to sampling constraints, forestry data used at the state and county level have large sampling errors.