This paper describes the development of a set of U.S. county-based vehicle miles of travel and motor fuel use estimates and forecasts. The forecasts are short range, annual forecasts out to year 2015. A range of forecasts can be generated based on different assumptions associated with household travel growth and alternative fuel use scenarios. The principal objective of the work is to produce a set of fuel demand forecasts that can support both the analysis of regional fuel use trends as well as provide information useful to the design of future alternative fuel supply infrastructures, including studies of the best way to sequence the connection of alternative fuel resource sites to emerging consumer-driven fuel markets.

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Frank Southworth
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